Play Wisely

Hand Decisions

Using probability for hit, stand, double and split choices.

Basic Strategy Mistakes and What They Cost

How common deviations from the basic strategy chart add to the house edge, which mistakes tend to cost the most, and how to think about the cost of each error.

4 min read

Even Money Offer Explained

What the even money offer is when you hold a natural and the dealer shows an ace, why it is the same as taking insurance, and what it costs on average.

5 min read

Hard Sixteen Against a Ten: The Hardest Hand

Why a hard sixteen against a dealer ten is such an awkward hand: a walk through the chances and average results of hitting versus standing, and what each choice costs.

5 min read

The Probability of Going Bust in Blackjack

The chance of busting on a single hit for each hard total from 12 to 21, how the figures are worked out, and how to use them without expecting to beat the odds.

4 min read

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